Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 87% |
| O/U 29.5 | 86% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 35.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 67% |
| O/U 39.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 45.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Wyoming O/U 21.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Hawai'i O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| Hawai'i O/U 27.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Hawai'i O/U 30.5 | 25% |
| Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| Wyoming O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| O/U 55.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| O/U 57.5 | 15% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| O/U 63.5 | 9% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Hawai'i vs. Wyoming. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 57% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T19:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $190K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Polymarket Deutsch, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming" auf Polymarket Deutsch handeln
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