Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 23.5 | 93% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| O/U 25.5 | 89% |
| O/U 27.5 | 87% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 86% |
| O/U 29.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 21.5 | 82% |
| O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| O/U 24.5 | 79% |
| O/U 28.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 33.5 | 74% |
| O/U 30.5 | 74% |
| Steelers O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 11.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| O/U 35.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 64% |
| O/U 36.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| O/U 37.5 | 61% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 58% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Steelers O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 53% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| O/U 40.5 | 52% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 21+ | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 51% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| O/U 41.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 48% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Steelers O/U 25.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| O/U 43.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 44.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Falcons O/U 22.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 45.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Falcons O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| O/U 46.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 47.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers | 30% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| O/U 49.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| Steelers O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 50.5 | 23% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 51.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -19.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 53.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| O/U 54.5 | 15% |
| O/U 55.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Falcons O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Falcons vs. Steelers — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 93%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If the game is postpo…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $131K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Falcons vs. Steelers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Polymarket Deutsch, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutsch ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Falcons vs. Steelers" auf Polymarket Deutsch handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →