Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 87% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 86% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 86% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 85% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 83% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 83% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 82% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 76% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 72% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 68% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 67% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 63% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 60% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 60% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 55% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 53% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 51% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 48% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 46% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 45% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 45% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 45% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 44% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 37% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 36% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 34% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 33% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 27% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 27% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 25% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 23% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 23% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 22% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 22% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 22% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 22% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 20% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 19% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 19% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 18% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 16% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 16% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 14% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 13% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 13% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 13% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 13% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 12% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 11% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 11% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 11% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 11% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 9% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 8% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 8% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 7% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 7% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 7% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 7% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 6% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 6% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 6% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 5% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 5% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 4% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 4% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 4% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 4% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 4% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 4% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 4% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 95% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Polymarket Deutsch, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutsch ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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