Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 82% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 82% |
| Grizzlies O/U 106.5 | 81% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 80% |
| Grizzlies O/U 107.5 | 79% |
| O/U 224.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 75% |
| Warriors O/U 113.5 | 75% |
| O/U 227.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| Warriors O/U 115.5 | 71% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 70% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 57.5 | 70% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 69% |
| Race to 30 | 68% |
| Grizzlies O/U 111.5 | 67% |
| O/U 230.5 | 65% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 65% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 56.5 | 65% |
| Warriors O/U 109.5 | 64% |
| Grizzlies O/U 112.5 | 64% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 59.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 62% |
| O/U 232.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 233.5 | 59% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 234.5 | 57% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 57% |
| Warriors O/U 118.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 58.5 | 56% |
| O/U 235.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Warriors O/U 119.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| O/U 236.5 | 52% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| Warriors O/U 120.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| O/U 237.5 | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| O/U 207.5 | 50% |
| O/U 209.5 | 50% |
| O/U 211.5 | 50% |
| O/U 213.5 | 50% |
| O/U 215.5 | 50% |
| O/U 217.5 | 50% |
| O/U 219.5 | 50% |
| O/U 223.5 | 50% |
| O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| O/U 229.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Gui Santos: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Gui Santos: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Gui Santos: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Al Horford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Al Horford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Al Horford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Zach Edey: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Zach Edey: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Zach Edey: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Wells: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Wells: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Wells: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 238.5 | 47% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Grizzlies O/U 117.5 | 47% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Jaylen Wells: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 60.5 | 45% |
| Warriors O/U 123.5 | 45% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| O/U 240.5 | 43% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Warriors O/U 125.5 | 43% |
| Jerami Grant: Assists O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 63.5 | 42% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Jaylen Wells: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 1H Moneyline | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | 39% |
| Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 38% |
| Warriors O/U 124.5 | 38% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 37% |
| O/U 243.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| Warriors O/U 129.5 | 36% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Grizzlies O/U 121.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Zach Edey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Grizzlies O/U 122.5 | 34% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 21.5 | 33% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Al Horford: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 65.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 246.5 | 31% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Jerami Grant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Gui Santos: Assists O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 64.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 27% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Warriors O/U 128.5 | 26% |
| O/U 249.5 | 25% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 25% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Grizzlies O/U 126.5 | 23% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Zach Edey: Assists O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Warriors O/U 130.5 | 21% |
| Spread -15.5 | 20% |
| Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 34.5 | 16% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 8% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 14.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Grizzlies vs. Warriors. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 39% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $689K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Grizzlies vs. Warriors über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Polymarket Deutsch, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutsch ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Grizzlies vs. Warriors" auf Polymarket Deutsch handeln
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