Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 4.5 | 84% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 110.5 | 83% |
| Kings O/U 101.5 | 81% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | 80% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| O/U 218.5 | 78% |
| Spread -1.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 75% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Spread -2.5 | 74% |
| O/U 221.5 | 73% |
| Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| 1H Moneyline | 71% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| O/U 224.5 | 68% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 58.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 67% |
| Kings 1H O/U 53.5 | 66% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 116.5 | 66% |
| O/U 226.5 | 66% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 111.5 | 65% |
| Spread -5.5 | 65% |
| Kings O/U 102.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Kings O/U 107.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 62% |
| O/U 227.5 | 61% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -7.5 | 60% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 60.5 | 59% |
| Kings O/U 106.5 | 59% |
| O/U 228.5 | 59% |
| Kings 1H O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| O/U 229.5 | 56% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 230.5 | 55% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 120.5 | 54% |
| Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 232.5 | 51% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 206.5 | 51% |
| O/U 208.5 | 51% |
| O/U 210.5 | 51% |
| O/U 212.5 | 51% |
| O/U 214.5 | 51% |
| O/U 222.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Kings 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Kings 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Kings 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Kings 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 204.5 | 50% |
| O/U 216.5 | 50% |
| O/U 220.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Keegan Murray: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Keegan Murray: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Keegan Murray: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Kings O/U 111.5 | 49% |
| Kings 1H O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 48% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| O/U 233.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| Kings 1H O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| Kings O/U 112.5 | 47% |
| O/U 234.5 | 46% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -11.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| O/U 235.5 | 44% |
| Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 115.5 | 44% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 125.5 | 43% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| O/U 237.5 | 40% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 64.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 40% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5 | 37% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 37% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 36% |
| Kings 1H O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| Kings O/U 116.5 | 36% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 240.5 | 34% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 126.5 | 34% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.5 | 32% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| Kings O/U 122.5 | 32% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Kings O/U 117.5 | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 31% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5 | 30% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 66.5 | 30% |
| Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| O/U 243.5 | 28% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Kings 1H O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 24% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 130.5 | 23% |
| O/U 246.5 | 22% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Kings O/U 121.5 | 22% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 21% |
| Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 13% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
Markt-Kontext
Trail Blazers vs. Kings. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 75% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.3M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Polymarket Deutsch, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutsch ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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