Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 19.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 82% |
| Magic O/U 107.5 | 80% |
| Timberwolves O/U 107.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 77% |
| O/U 223.5 | 73% |
| Magic 1H O/U 53.5 | 67% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 53.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 65% |
| Timberwolves O/U 113.5 | 63% |
| O/U 229.5 | 60% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 55.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| O/U 232.5 | 54% |
| Race to 30 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| O/U 226.5 | 51% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 34.5 | 51% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 34.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Timberwolves O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Magic O/U 117.5 | 51% |
| Timberwolves O/U 122.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Magic 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| O/U 209.5 | 50% |
| O/U 211.5 | 50% |
| O/U 213.5 | 50% |
| O/U 215.5 | 50% |
| O/U 217.5 | 50% |
| O/U 219.5 | 50% |
| O/U 221.5 | 50% |
| O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| O/U 227.5 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 234.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Timberwolves O/U 117.5 | 48% |
| O/U 235.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 236.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 237.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 242.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 239.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 39% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 59.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| Magic 1H O/U 59.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 240.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| O/U 238.5 | 33% |
| Timberwolves O/U 128.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Timberwolves O/U 123.5 | 31% |
| Magic 1H O/U 61.5 | 31% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 61.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 245.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 248.5 | 22% |
| Magic O/U 127.5 | 21% |
| Timberwolves O/U 127.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Spread -12.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 17% |
| O/U 251.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 17% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
Markt-Kontext
Timberwolves vs. Magic. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 54% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-23T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.2M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Polymarket Deutsch, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Magic" auf Polymarket Deutsch handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →