Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutsch) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Race to 10 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| Race to 30 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Black: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Black: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 93.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 100% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| O/U 209.5 | 95% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 95% |
| Anthony Black: Assists O/U 5.5 | 95% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 3.5 | 95% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| O/U 213.5 | 91% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 90% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.5 | 89% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 24.5 | 89% |
| O/U 215.5 | 88% |
| Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 87% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.5 | 86% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.5 | 84% |
| O/U 217.5 | 83% |
| Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5 | 83% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 29.5 | 82% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 82% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 82% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 219.5 | 78% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5 | 77% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| O/U 205.5 | 75% |
| O/U 221.5 | 72% |
| Jamal Shead: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| O/U 197.5 | 71% |
| O/U 199.5 | 70% |
| O/U 201.5 | 70% |
| O/U 203.5 | 70% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| O/U 223.5 | 66% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | 64% |
| O/U 224.5 | 64% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 14.5 | 64% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 14.5 | 64% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 225.5 | 61% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 58% |
| Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5 | 57% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 227.5 | 54% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 42.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 44.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 46.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 46.5 | 53% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 48.5 | 53% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 50.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 55.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 61.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 63.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 43.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 45.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| Magic 1H O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jase Richardson: Points O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 93.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 95.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 97.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Black: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| Magic O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| O/U 229.5 | 48% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -29.5 | 47% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 62.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 64.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 66.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 60.5 | 47% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| Team to Score First | 43% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| O/U 231.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| Spread -31.5 | 39% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -22.5 | 38% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| O/U 233.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Black: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| O/U 245.5 | 34% |
| O/U 247.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| O/U 249.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| O/U 235.5 | 30% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| O/U 251.5 | 30% |
| O/U 253.5 | 30% |
| Spread -33.5 | 29% |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) | 27% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -15.5 | 25% |
| O/U 237.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| O/U 239.5 | 20% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 241.5 | 17% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| O/U 243.5 | 13% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| Anthony Black: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Jamal Shead: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jamal Shead: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| Spread -18.5 | 5% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 14.5 | 3% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 19.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: magic vs. raptors 100%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:30PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.1M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutsch. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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